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India budgets for common man after years of neo-liberal roller coaster
WSN Network

NEW DELHI: Tough economic conditions and recent victory in Lok Sabha elections seem to have convinced India's ruling UPA government to come up with a budget that sticks to a line that provides for lower middle classes and teeming poor, and pumps more resources into uplifting vast masses out of abject poverty. But there was also relief for middle class in the form of higher tax exemption limits, and many benefits to industry.

High drama was absent, and an industry noe having become habitual to witnessing a no holds barred neo-liberal charter on the day of the budget had only a mixed reaction, though stock market tanked badly.

With an expenditure of more than Rs 10 trillion (Rs 10 lakh crore), this was India’s biggest-ever budget focussing on 4 per cent farm growth, interest subsidy for farmers and housing and basic amenities for the urban poor.

Token tax breaks for middle class did not make many happy but Indian story seems to ne continuing despite the global downturn. At current levels, India remains the world’s second fastest growing significant economy.

For the corporate sector, the removal of fringe benefit tax (a tax on perks that has been gnawing the insides of the sector ever since Mukherjee’s predecessor P Chidambaram introduced it in February 2005) provided some respite. The budget’s thrust on infrastructure that will help finance projects in roads, airports, telecom and power through public-private partnerships was worth Rs 100,000 crore.

The corporate sector is by and large quite contented with the budget but the financial sector which was demanding and getting a stimulus package in the form of lower duties did not react positively. The market’s barometer BSE Sensex fell 870 points because India’s fiscal deficit will almost touch 7 per cent, an 18-year high.

But what investors are blatantly overlooking is the fact that 3.5 percentage points of this rise has come on account of fiscal stimuli worth Rs 1,86,000 crore — much of which has been pocketed by the same participants.

Yes, the danger of a high fiscal deficit is clear and present --- as the government begins to borrow in huge numbers, private companies get squeezed out of the market, and increase their cost of doing business. In a double whammy, rating agencies could lower India's sovereign  rating, thereby raising the interest rates in the system. On a pragmatic front, a higher fiscal deficit is something the whole world is beginning to live with.

India seems to be banking on growth by financially repairing the agricultural and rural economy, the urban slums by increasing allocation for housing for urban poor, exports and investing much of that in sectors like roads, airports, telecom and so on that provide growth multipliers to the economy.

8 July  2009
 

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