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India writes $15 billion cheque to save Sonia’s UPA from committing suicides
But what does Punjab gain from it? Majority of Punjab farmers are Sikhs, and have a better record of repaying loans. Will this poll year sop help?
WSN Bureau

NEW DELHI/CHANDIGARH: For four years, the image of India spun out by the Sonia Gandhi-Manmohan Singh led, Leftnudged and SEZ-business-industry-friendly UPA government was one of of upcoming swank malls, swankier cars and cool cash. But the problem is that every five year come the elections. For four years, it was considered okay to do nothing as thousands of farmers committed suicide due to the simple reason of extreme poverty. 

But before rushing into elections, the UPA thought it fit to strike with a big-bang 60,000 crore-rupee debt relief for farmers. In the perverse way in which Indian politics and political debate works, even sober media publications identify the Finance Minister overly with the Budget as if it is the baby of only one ministry. So, P. Chidambaram. got much credit for the please-all package that saved salaried classes thousands of rupees in taxes, promised to make growth more inclusive and aimed to boost consumption with a wide array of duty cuts so that the economy’s momentum remains intact. 

People may have been the last to know it, but in the power corridors, everyone knew. Several state units of ruling parties had begun work to hardsell it in an election year. In Punjab, Akalis wanted to pre-empt the credit mongering and held a rally virtually hours before the budget, demanding farm loan waivers. The TDP in Andhra Pradesh and the Shiv Sena in Maharashtra held roads hows demanding the waiver and assuring farmers that they would extract it from the Centre. Within minutes of the FM ending his budget speech, hordes of farmers had reached Sonia andhi’s residence and  hoardings thanking her for karza mukti had gone up. 

A week before the Budget, Sonia spent over two hours with farmers from Rajasthan, Haryana, and Maharashtra. A farmer delegation from Punjab met PM Manmohan Singh and Sonia on the first day of Budget session. And the PMO issued a press release attacking the Akali Dal, which had planned a farmers rally in the capital the next day: Clearly, too many knew that a big cheque was coming for farmers, and were rushing to the vote banks to encash it. Sukhbir with his Delhi’s Insaaf Rally was doing exactly what Punjab Congress chief Rajinder Kaur Bhattal was doing. The Indian Express reported how she “personally rang up newspaper offices to request good media coverage to a delegation led by her (since) a ‘major’ announcement for farmers was in the offing, credit for which should go to the Congress.” And this, almost a week before the Budget. How many farmers in Punjab will benefit from the budget’s waiver plan remains a rather tedious issue. Punjab Chief Secretary Ramesh Inder Singh said it is likely to benefit 70 per cent of the total debt-ridden farmers in Punjab even as the government was still working out the details of the waiver and its impact on the state. Punjab farmers owe Rs 586 crore short and long term loans to cooperative banks and are likely to benefit.  

But who will certainly not get any benefit is the question that rankles serious students of Punjab’s economy and agriculture. Any one who has taken loans from private money lenders or arhtiyas will not get a penny of the Rs 60,000 crore hand out. The loan has been waived for under the below five-acre landholding category. On the other hand, Punjab Mandi Board Chairman Ajmer Singh Lakhowal has said only 29 per cent of farmers in Punjab would benefit from farm loan waiver as only 29 per cent of farmers in the state have five acres land. Some 64 per cent have land holdings between five and 15 acres, while 7 per cent are big farmers. How the Punjab Chief secretary reached his 70 per cent figure remains a mystery.  

The middle class of course had every reason to be happy; after all it is this one class that the entire Indian establishment, be it the UPA, the NDA or its sundry avtaars, have been wooing for nearly two decades now. So, the salaried class, beginning this April, will carry home more money, because Chidambaram has rejigged the personal income tax slabs in a manner that cuts its annual tax liability by between Rs 4,000 and Rs 55,000, depending on how much one earns and where one saves. More good news if one works for the government: the Sixth Pay Commission will give its report by March 31, and Chidambaram was confident it would meet the expectations of millions of central government employees.

5 March 2008
 

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