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Amidst farcical times, India goes to polls
Gian Inder Singh 

India goes to elections next month amid happening times. The ruling Congress-led United Progressive Alliance (UPA) is promising to make Manmohan Singh, the country's first Sikh Prime Minister, once again the top man, and is thus trying to cash in on his personal integrity and reputation as an able economist. As for how the Sikh community views Manmohan Singh vis-a-vis its dreams of an engagement between New Delhi and the Sikh issues is a separate matter.

Significant voices from the Sikh community like Bhai Daljit Singh, the Panch Pardhani Akali Dal, have decided to pull back from the money-mafia-muscle dominated Indian electoral contest scene. The ruling Akali Dal has publicly said the Anandpur Sahib Resolution cannot even be discussed and Parkash Singh Badal-Sukhbir Singh Badal duo is burning mid-night oil to make L K Advani the Prime Minister.

So you have a strange convergence of diverse facts: the SGPC president is on record saying that the RSS was the biggest enemy of the Sikhs, but has also told the SGPC members to work for Akali Dal-BJP alliance. The Akali Dal has said it will be only and only part of NDA and will not join any other formation. L K Advani has claimed credit for pushing Indira Gandhi into Operation Bluestar, and Badal wants him and no one else as the Prime Minister.

At a time when the Badal Akali Dal is feverishly stating that its alliance with the saffron Hindutva right wing party BJP is not political but a meeting of the souls and that it is a relationship as good as the one between 'Nauhn-Maas' (nails and flesh), BJP's other alliance partners are waking up to a new reality. In Orissa, Navin Patnaik wanted to salvage his secular image and dumped the party even at the cost of threat to his own BJD-BJP government. It was a parting of ways after 11 years of marriage.

In Assam, the AGP has said it only has a seat adjustment with BJP and is not part of the NDA. Only in Haryana have Badal's friends Chautalas tied up with the BJP.

At the national level, the Third Front talk is becoming stronger. Senior CPI(M) leader Sitaram Yechury is trying out possibilities with Navin Patnaik, Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) chief Sharad Pawar, TDP chief Chandrababu Naidu and BSP leader Satish Chandra Mishra. Left has often dreamed of a decisive shift in the policy direction but has repeatedly made the mistake of failing to lead from the front by setting an example.

Unlike Badals who feel comfortable in Advani company, Bihar CM and Janata Dal (United) leader Nitish Kumar is stuck between political realities, his personal dislike for BJP and survival of his government. Former Prime Minister H D Deve Gowda is hyper active on Third Front issue and TRS chief K Chandrashekhar Rao and AIADMK chief J Jayalalithaa seem to be still deciding.

Meanwhile, the BJP campaign remains focussed on L K Advani whom the party wants to project as a “strong leader” thus trying to paint Manmohan Singh as a “weak PM”. The BJP is planning to launch its campaign carpet-bombing style with huge rallies on March 16 across the country.

Both parties have selected advertisement companies. JWT for Congress and Frank Simoes and Utopia for the BJP. With mobile telephone subscription of 35 crore, SMS campaigns wil be all over and Internet campaign will also be full throttle. All of it, of course, will remain focussed primarily on Advani as far as the BJP goes.

The Akali Dal position is very very weak and the BJP has written off its Punjab partner who may not be able to deliver even a couple of seats. Sukhbir Badal is keeping everyone guessing about whether his wife will fight the Bathinda seat simply because his intelligence team is not very sure it can be clinched by using all tricks in the trade including the kind of violence that Punjab had witnessed during local bodies elections.

The UPA had made unemployment a major campaign issue in 2004 and promised the creation of 1 crore jobs every year; but with recession, the BJP in 2009 will try to focus on the UPA’s failure on this front. That it will be hard put to not acknowledge the hugely successful NREGA scheme that guarantees job to rural and urban India for 100 days a year and the empowering effect of the Right to Information Act is a moot point.

Akali rhetoric remains in a time warp, stuck in the same old groove: "Congress is the enemy of Punjab, Centre discriminates against Punjab and Punjab is going through unprecedented development." There is a kernel and more of truth in Centre being unfair to Punjab, but coming from the Badals it loses all the sheen of the truth. More than the Congress, the BJP is an ultra-nationalist, its parent RSS is a votary of Hindu rashtra, and L K Advani a rank communal man, but the gurdwaras of the Sikh quom and the national resources of the Sikhs are being used to make Advani the Prime Minister.

11 March 2009
 

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